PSV have been near-perfect on home turf this term, while Utrecht have struggled on the road. We expect an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly edging out their visitors in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
