PSV know that any dropped points from here on out could signal the end of their title challenge, and we expect them to be fully up for this one. We are also backing this weekend's visitors to come away with all three points, albeit by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
