SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
32.23% ( -0.77) | 25.02% ( -0.09) | 42.75% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( 0.15) | 46.61% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( 0.14) | 68.88% ( -0.14) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.41) | 27.51% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.98% ( -0.53) | 63.02% ( 0.53) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 0.47) | 21.79% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45% ( 0.71) | 55% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 43 | 39 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ajax | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 8 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 8 |
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