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May 1, 2022 at 1.30pm UK at Philips Stadium
PSV
4 - 2
Willem II
Doan (2'), Gakpo (31'), Zahavi (45+2'), Dammers (60' og.)
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nunnely (44'), Kabangu (50')
Saddiki (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Willem II

Buoyed by their recent victory, Willem II will head to Eindhoven with the wind in their sails, but awaiting them is a PSV side currently firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawWillem II
88.49%8.03%3.47%
Both teams to score 43.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.67%43.33%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.65%3.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.28%14.72%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.47%54.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.4%87.6%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 88.49%
    Willem II 3.47%
    Draw 8.03%
PSV EindhovenDrawWillem II
3-0 @ 11.95%
2-0 @ 10.54%
4-0 @ 10.16%
3-1 @ 7.25%
5-0 @ 6.91%
2-1 @ 6.4%
1-0 @ 6.2%
4-1 @ 6.16%
5-1 @ 4.19%
6-0 @ 3.92%
6-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.2%
7-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-2 @ 1.27%
7-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 88.49%
1-1 @ 3.76%
2-2 @ 1.94%
0-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 8.03%
1-2 @ 1.14%
0-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 3.47%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 PSV
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, April 17 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 1-2 Leicester
Thursday, April 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PSV 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Leicester 0-0 PSV
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 PSV
Saturday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, April 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 Willem II
Friday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Willem II
Saturday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-2 AZ
Sunday, March 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, March 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax22009366
2PSV EindhovenPSV22009366
3SBV Excelsior22005146
4FC Twente22004046
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22005236
6Feyenoord21105234
7NEC21014223
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk20203302
9FC UtrechtUtrecht20202202
10Heerenveen20200002
11Sparta RotterdamSparta201123-11
12Cambuur201102-21
13FC VolendamVolendam201136-31
14EmmenEmmen201125-31
15Groningen201138-51
16Fortuna SittardSittard200226-40
17Vitesse200238-50
18Go Ahead Eagles200227-50
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