SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
50.22% ( 0.16) | 23.32% ( 0.03) | 26.46% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.28) | 42.23% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.28) | 64.64% ( 0.28) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.05) | 16.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.98% ( -0.08) | 47.02% ( 0.08) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.29) | 29.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( -0.35) | 65.24% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.22% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 26 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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