Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
33% ( -0.52) | 28.23% ( -0.02) | 38.77% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.67% ( -0.01) | 59.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.27% ( -0) | 79.73% ( 0.01) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% ( -0.36) | 33.4% ( 0.37) |