SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
56.3% ( -0.71) | 24.12% ( 0.82) | 19.58% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( -2.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% ( -3.37) | 52.74% ( 3.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% ( -2.96) | 74.37% ( 2.96) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -1.5) | 18.59% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.13% ( -2.58) | 49.87% ( 2.58) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -2.07) | 41.4% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.08% ( -1.88) | 77.91% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 1.08) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.14% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | La Luz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | DanubioDanubio | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | CerroCerro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | FenixFenix | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Boston RiverBoston River | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 11 |
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