SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Olimpia |
49.03% ( 0.24) | 23.85% ( 0) | 27.13% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.21) | 44.12% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.2) | 66.5% ( 0.2) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( 0.01) | 18.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.94% ( 0.02) | 49.06% ( -0.03) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.29) | 29.77% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.16% ( -0.36) | 65.84% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Olimpia |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 94 | 32 | 62 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 31 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
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