Reading's form appears unsalvageable at this stage but they face a Coventry side also low on confidence, which should make for an interesting and perhaps nervy game. We think that it will end level, a result that will not really suit either team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Reading had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
