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Jan 19, 2022 at 8pm UK at Madejski Stadium
gameweek 23 | 1st Leg
Reading
0 - 2
Luton

Drinkwater (90'), Joao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holmes (33' og.), Campbell (58')

We said: Reading 1-2 Luton Town

Even though they experienced contrasting fortunes at the weekend, both teams will feel encouraged by their respective performances. Nevertheless, we can only back the Hatters for this contest, the visitors potentially prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawLuton Town
23.62%25.48%50.9%
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25%53.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77%75.23%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12%37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01%53.99%
Score Analysis
    Reading 23.62%
    Luton Town 50.89%
    Draw 25.48%
ReadingDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 23.62%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 12.44%
0-2 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 50.89%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd422571065362982
3Luton TownLuton422014853361774
4Middlesbrough422181379512871
5Millwall431811145042865
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom421712135445963
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn41196164547-263
8Sunderland431614136152962
9Coventry CityCoventry421614125243962
10Preston North EndPreston421711144147-662
11Norwich CityNorwich421710155547861
12Watford421514135147459
13Swansea CitySwansea421511165759-256
14Bristol City431314165053-353
15Birmingham CityBirmingham431411184653-753
16Hull City421314154857-953
17Stoke CityStoke431410195450452
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham421016164656-1046
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield431111214261-1944
20Queens Park RangersQPR421110214067-2743
21Cardiff CityCardiff41119213450-1642
22Reading42139204362-1942
23Blackpool43911234469-2538
24Wigan AthleticWigan43913213563-2837
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