With both clubs being inconsistency personified, this is a difficult match to call. Even though Stoke would have taken more positives from their performance at the weekend, we still expect this contest to end in a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.