Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
