This match feels like a must-not-lose rather a must-win, and that could lead to a tense occasion. Nevertheless, taking everything into consideration, we can only see a narrow victory for the hosts, who may outlast their opponents on home territory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
