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Saturday, January 21

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Birmingham City

Both sides played out a goalless draw at St Andrews earlier this season, and another low-scoring affair could be on the cards this weekend. With Birmingham struggling to pose a threat in the final third, Preston should do enough to secure a slender victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
47.57%28.01%24.42%
Both teams to score 42.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.05%61.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3%81.7%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.31%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23%41.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77%78.23%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 47.56%
    Birmingham City 24.42%
    Draw 27.99%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 24.42%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley28188255262962
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28176548242457
3Watford2812883429544
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn28141133135-443
5Middlesbrough2712694233942
6Norwich CityNorwich28126104031942
7Luton TownLuton2711973529642
8Millwall2712693327642
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2811893830841
10Preston North EndPreston28117102631-540
11Swansea CitySwansea2810994038239
12Sunderland2710893932738
13Queens Park RangersQPR28108103134-338
14Reading28114133142-1137
15Coventry CityCoventry2798102931-235
16Hull City2897123344-1134
17Bristol City2889113738-133
18Stoke CityStoke2896133337-433
19Birmingham CityBirmingham2888123035-532
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham28710113340-731
21Cardiff CityCardiff2878132131-1029
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield2675142533-826
23Blackpool2768132840-1226
24Wigan AthleticWigan2867152749-2225
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