MX23RW : Wednesday, February 15 00:28:12
SM
Arsenal vs. Man City: 19 hrs 1 min
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK at St Andrew's
Birmingham
2 - 2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')

We said: Birmingham City 2-2 Cardiff City

Both Birmingham and Cardiff will be desperate to put a consistent run of form together to steer themselves clear of danger. However, with little to separate these two unpredictable teams, a score draw could be on the cards at St Andrews. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
33.94%29.44%36.62%
Both teams to score 43.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.65%63.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.28%82.72%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13%34.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92%33.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33%69.67%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.94%
    Cardiff City 36.62%
    Draw 29.43%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.43%
0-1 @ 12.76%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.62%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley31209262273569
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30187551242761
3Middlesbrough311561050361451
4Luton TownLuton30131073830849
5Sunderland31139946331348
6Watford32121193835347
7Millwall30137103630646
8Norwich CityNorwich31136124336745
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn30143133236-445
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom30128103932744
11Coventry CityCoventry31119113333042
12Hull City32118133847-941
13Reading31125143546-1141
14Preston North EndPreston30117122736-940
15Bristol City30109114039139
16Swansea CitySwansea30109114345-239
17Queens Park RangersQPR32109133343-1039
18Birmingham CityBirmingham31108133640-438
19Stoke CityStoke3097143338-534
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham31712123442-833
21Cardiff CityCardiff3288162436-1232
22Wigan AthleticWigan3078152849-2129
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3077162839-1128
24Blackpool30610143045-1528
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