MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 20:13:39
SM
Saturday, April 1
Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK at Ewood Park
Blackburn
4 - 0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sunjic (43')

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Aside from Fulham, Blackburn would be regarded as favourites to beat any other team in the second tier right now, particularly at Ewood Park. With that in mind, we expect a comfortable afternoon for Rovers, who could also keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
48.24%26.54%25.21%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55%56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54%77.46%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56%23.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55%57.45%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06%37.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29%74.7%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 48.24%
    Birmingham City 25.21%
    Draw 26.54%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.21%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley382412274294584
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38227959332673
3Middlesbrough392071271462567
4Luton TownLuton391813848351367
5Millwall391710124840861
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn38194154343061
7Norwich CityNorwich391691452421057
8Coventry CityCoventry391512124741657
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381511124739856
10Preston North EndPreston391511133744-756
11Watford391413124542355
12Sunderland391412135346754
13Stoke CityStoke39149165245751
14Bristol City391213144647-149
15Swansea CitySwansea391310165459-549
16Birmingham CityBirmingham39139174350-748
17Hull City391212154353-1048
18Reading39137194159-1846
19Queens Park RangersQPR39119193860-2242
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham38914154151-1041
21Cardiff CityCardiff38109193044-1439
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield39109203655-1939
23Blackpool39811204161-2035
24Wigan AthleticWigan39813183459-2534
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