We said: Preston North End 1-0 Barnsley
Barnsley are very gradually improving under Asbaghi, but we think that they will come away empty handed against a Preston side likely to benefit from a new manager bounce. The Lilywhites players will be keen to impress Lowe, who is an exciting appointment at Deepdale, and should claim victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
