Neither team have found the back of the net on a regular basis of late, and it feels a near certainty that this contest will be decided by one strike. Given their better position in the table, we are going to side with the visitors to net a late winner.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
