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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
VB
Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
Belfodil (23')
Ekkelenkamp (56'), Mittelstadt (84'), Richter (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Polter (48')
Bella-Kotchap (85')

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-2 VfL Bochum

Both sides are in mixed form, making this a tricky fixture to call. Hertha have the home advantage, but Bochum have fared slightly better since the start of the year, so we can see the two cancelling each other out in an entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
39.72%24.53%35.75%
Both teams to score 59.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46%43.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07%65.93%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81%55.19%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 39.72%
    VfL Bochum 35.75%
    Draw 24.53%
Hertha BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.72%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 35.75%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern33208590375368
2Borussia DortmundDortmund32214778423667
3RB Leipzig33196860392163
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin33178850381259
5Freiburg3317885042859
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen321471155441149
7Wolfsburg3313101056461049
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt331211105651547
9Mainz 05Mainz32129115149245
10FC Koln331012114852-442
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32109134853-539
12Werder Bremen33106175163-1236
13Hoffenheim33105184756-935
14Augsburg3297164258-1634
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum3395193772-3532
16Schalke 04Schalke33710163367-3431
17Stuttgart32611154055-1529
18Hertha Berlin3368194068-2826
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