MX23RW : Saturday, January 28 22:52:40
SM
Saturday, January 28
Jan 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at Coface Arena
Mainz 05
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 VfL Bochum

Two teams with almost identical records so far this season, Mainz will be hoping that their superior record in recent clashes gives them the edge over Bochum. While the visitors have impressed this season, it has been at home where their points have come from, making a victory in Saturday's clash an unlikely prospect for Bochum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mainz 05 in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mainz 05.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
57.23%22.62%20.15%
Both teams to score 53.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12%45.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81%68.19%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21%15.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07%44.93%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17%36.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38%73.62%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 57.23%
    VfL Bochum 20.16%
    Draw 22.62%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.23%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.16%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18107152163637
2Union BerlinUnion Berlin1811343122936
3RB Leipzig18105339241535
4Freiburg1810442925434
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1895437261132
6Borussia DortmundDortmund1710163125631
7Wolfsburg1885536221429
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187473429525
9Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen177373028224
10Werder Bremen187382937-824
11Mainz 05Mainz186572629-323
12FC Koln175662931-221
13Hoffenheim185492631-519
14Augsburg1853102333-1018
15Stuttgart183782232-1016
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum1851121944-2516
17Hertha Berlin1835102032-1214
18Schalke 04Schalke1723121441-279
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