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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
FL
VfL Bochum
2 - 1
Freiburg
Polter (54'), Pantovic (82')
Losilla (32'), Antwi-Adjej (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lienhart (51')
Kubler (58')

We said: VfL Bochum 2-0 Freiburg

Whilst the top four is an unlikely achievement for comparable minnows in German football Freiburg, they do boast pedigree in qualifying for the Europa League. That will be the target for a high-flying Freiburg side, with Bochum's wait for a win against the team from the South likely to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VfL Bochum in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for VfL Bochum.

Result
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
40.73%24.47%34.81%
Both teams to score 59.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59%43.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2%65.8%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62%21.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64%54.36%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.87%
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 40.73%
    Freiburg 34.81%
    Draw 24.46%
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.81%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen87102571822
2Stuttgart87012581721
3Bayern MunichBayern86202671920
4Borussia DortmundDortmund8620178920
5RB Leipzig85211971217
6Hoffenheim85031714315
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt834196313
8Freiburg8413914-513
9Wolfsburg84041111012
10Heidenheim72141015-57
11SV Darmstadt 9882151322-97
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach71331316-36
13Werder Bremen82061218-66
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin82061117-66
15Augsburg71241017-75
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum8044621-154
17Mainz 05Mainz8026722-152
18FC Koln7016414-101
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