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Sunday, October 8
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BL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
FL
Bayern
2 - 1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haberer (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
73.11%16.03%10.85%
Both teams to score 53.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46%34.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.52%56.49%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.84%8.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.4%28.61%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.88%42.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46%78.54%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.11%
    Freiburg 10.85%
    Draw 16.03%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.8%
4-0 @ 5.65%
4-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.83%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 2.11%
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.06%
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 73.11%
1-1 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.04%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.22%
0-1 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 10.85%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen76102361719
2Stuttgart76012281418
3Bayern MunichBayern75202361717
4Borussia DortmundDortmund7520168817
5Hoffenheim75021611515
6RB Leipzig74211661014
7Wolfsburg7403109112
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt724165110
9Freiburg7313713-610
10Heidenheim72141015-57
11SV Darmstadt 9872141219-77
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach71331316-36
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin72051114-36
14Werder Bremen72051217-56
15Augsburg71241017-75
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum7043519-144
17Mainz 05Mainz7025619-132
18FC Koln7016414-101
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