A closely-fought contest between two sides separated by just three points in the table is set to be played out on Saturday, with both teams at risk of finishing the weekend in the bottom three if they fail to win.
When taking into account Augsburg's decent home form as well as Bochum's miserable away record, we can see the hosts securing all three points at the WWK Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
