We are predicting Mainz to return to winning ways here due to their strong home record and generally strong start to the season overall.
Hertha will be full of confidence following their debut win under their new boss on Saturday, but an inconsistent campaign so far means they often struggle to put together a long streak.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
