Bochum are a proven force on home soil, and can end an excellent year with another valuable point at their Ruhrstadion headquarters.
Die Unabsteigbaren have conceded just five goals in seven outings as hosts so far, which means Union's chances of scoring more than once are slim - surely resulting in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
