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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
BL
Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

With the pressure on Bayern once more, we expect them to raise their game again and come out with another emphatic display. Hertha should lack the quality to prevent a comfortable victory for the visitors, unless they can perform at their absolute best, but Bayern should easily brush aside their relegation-threatened opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
11.19%14.55%74.26%
Both teams to score 61.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.39%25.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.28%45.72%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93%35.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18%71.82%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.12%5.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.45%22.55%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 11.19%
    Bayern Munich 74.26%
    Draw 14.55%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21%
1-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.59%
2-0 @ 1.13%
3-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.19%
1-1 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 2.06%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 14.55%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 8.2%
0-3 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-4 @ 5.81%
0-4 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 4.3%
1-5 @ 3.29%
0-5 @ 3.14%
2-4 @ 3.04%
2-5 @ 1.73%
1-6 @ 1.56%
0-6 @ 1.49%
3-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 74.26%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30188481334862
2Borussia DortmundDortmund30194767402761
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin30168644311356
4Freiburg3016864637956
5RB Leipzig30166854371754
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301461053411248
7Wolfsburg301210854371746
8Mainz 05Mainz3012994943645
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111095046443
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach3099124448-436
11FC Koln30811114048-835
12Werder Bremen30105154858-1035
13Augsburg3087153955-1631
14Hoffenheim3085173951-1229
15Stuttgart30610143852-1428
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3084183367-3428
17Schalke 04Schalke3069152857-2927
18Hertha Berlin3057183561-2622
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