Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
