Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
