Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
