Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
