Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
