Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
