Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Bragantino win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
