Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
