Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente |
46.32% ( 0.6) | 26.82% ( 0.2) | 26.86% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.59% ( -1.18) | 56.41% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.58% ( -0.97) | 77.42% ( 0.96) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.67% ( -0.23) | 24.33% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.29% ( -0.33) | 58.71% ( 0.33) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.5% ( -1.3) | 36.5% ( 1.3) |