Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
