As the league table suggests, there is little separating the teams ahead of this one, and we are expecting a tight affair. That said, we also tip the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and nick all three points in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
2.08) 
-0.93) 
