SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
37.36% ( -0.09) | 24.13% ( 0) | 38.52% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0) | 41.48% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% | 63.88% ( 0) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.05) | 22.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.4% ( -0.07) | 55.6% ( 0.07) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( 0.05) | 21.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.29% ( 0.07) | 54.71% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 93 | 31 | 62 | 88 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 70 | 50 | 20 | 61 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 31 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
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