Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.
