SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 1-2 (4.35%).
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
65.52% ( 2.05) | 19.06% ( -0.9) | 15.42% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.22% ( 1.95) | 37.78% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.97% ( 2.06) | 60.03% ( -2.06) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% ( 1.11) | 10.79% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.19% ( 2.42) | 34.81% ( -2.42) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.21) | 37.4% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.81% ( -0.21) | 74.18% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.22)Other @ 4.53% Total : 65.51% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.42% |
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