World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Bahrain

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

We say: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Bahrain

While Bahrain have picked up two positive results in their three outings, including a phenomenal 1-0 win against Australia, we believe Saudi Arabia boast more talent throughout their squad, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bahrain has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bahrain win is 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
45.86% ( 0.88)	26.28% ( -2.28)	27.85% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

7.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14% (

8.73)

53.86% (

-8.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68% (

6.85)

75.32% (

-6.85)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

4.4)

23.43% (

-4.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56% (

5.99)

57.43% (

-5.99)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

5.96)

34.32% (

-5.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98% (

5.89)

71.02% (

-5.89)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 45.85%

Bahrain 27.85%

Draw 26.29%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -2.67) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.73) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.85%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -3.17) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 1.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.75) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.58) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.58) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.85%