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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 12am UK
 
BN

Japan
vs.
Bahrain

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Oman 1-2 Bahrain
Saturday, January 4 at 4.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

We say: Japan 4-0 Bahrain

Japan have been virtually unstoppable in World Cup qualifying, including a 5-0 victory against Bahrain in the reverse fixture, leading us to expect a similarly dominant win for the hosts here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw has a probability of 14% and a win for Bahrain has a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Bahrain win it is 0-1 (2.55%).

Result
JapanDrawBahrain
78.64% (1.366 1.37) 13.96% (-0.844 -0.84) 7.4% (-0.528 -0.53)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.575 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62% (2.173 2.17)36.37% (-2.181 -2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49% (2.337 2.34)58.51% (-2.345 -2.35)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.59% (0.785 0.78)7.41% (-0.793 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.3% (2.011 2.01)26.7% (-2.019 -2.02)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.16% (0.201 0.2)50.84% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.77% (0.133 0.13)85.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Japan 78.63%
    Bahrain 7.4%
    Draw 13.96%
JapanDrawBahrain
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-0 @ 11.06% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.665 -0.67)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.375 0.38)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.281 0.28)
5-0 @ 3.75% (0.333 0.33)
5-1 @ 2.53% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.62% (0.202 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 78.63%
1-1 @ 6.63% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 13.96%
0-1 @ 2.55% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 2.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 7.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Japan 7-0 China
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Japan 5-0 Syria
Tuesday, June 11 at 11.14am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Oman 1-2 Bahrain
Saturday, January 4 at 4.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Kuwait
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 1-2 Yemen
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Iraq
Wednesday, December 25 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-3 Bahrain
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


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