World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 12am UK

Saudi Arabia
vs.
China

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Oman 2-1 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

China

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

We say: Saudi Arabia 2-0 China

With home advantage on their side in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia should make their superior quality count on Thursday and strengthen their claim for a top-two spot with a victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw has a probability of 20.8% and a win for China has a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.86%), while for a China win it is 0-1 (5%).

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	China
64.9% ( -0.05)	20.76% ( 0.05)	14.34% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.33% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

-0.24)

47.67% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.13% (

-0.22)

69.86% (

0.22)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

-0.09)

13.92% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.62% (

-0.18)

41.38% (

0.17)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99% (

-0.17)

45.01% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

-0.13)

80.94% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 64.89%

China 14.34%

Draw 20.76%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	China
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.89%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.76%	0-1 @ 5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.34%