World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 10.10am UK

Adelaide Oval

Australia
vs.
China

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

China

All competitions

Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Hoping to bring a new energy to the Australian ranks, Popovic should be able to inspire his troops to a maiden win of Group C on Thursday night. China were a tough match for Saudi Arabia on home soil, although we are expecting the Dragon Team to struggle at the Adelaide Oval in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for China has a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it is 0-1 (4.69%).

Result
Australia	Draw	China
66.4% ( -10.4)	20.07% ( 5.01)	13.53% ( 5.4)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

2.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

-7.38)

46.44% (

7.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

-7.34)

68.72% (

7.34)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-4.67)

13.1% (

4.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29% (

-10.44)

39.72% (

10.45)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.54% (

5.44)

45.46% (

-5.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.7% (

3.97)

81.3% (

-3.97)

Score Analysis

Australia 66.4%

China 13.53%

Draw 20.07%

Australia	Draw	China
2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.82) 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 1.5) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.84) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -2.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.74) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -2.46) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -1.18) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -1.59) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.88) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.4%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 2.38) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 1.67) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.83) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.07%	0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 1.34) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.87) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.44) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.53%