SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
64.25% ( -0.5) | 22.46% ( 0.35) | 13.29% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.95) | 56.16% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -0.77) | 77.22% ( 0.77) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.5) | 16.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( -0.9) | 47.08% ( 0.9) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.34) | 51.8% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.13% ( -0.22) | 85.88% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 15.59% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.24% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 13.29% |
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