SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Paraguay |
40.92% ( 0.66) | 29.46% ( -0.13) | 29.61% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 42.49% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.82% ( 0.26) | 64.18% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.68% ( 0.18) | 83.31% ( -0.18) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.52) | 30.87% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( 0.61) | 67.15% ( -0.6) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.27) | 38.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( -0.26) | 75.29% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.28% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.46% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 29.61% |
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