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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
PN

Ecuador
0 - 0
Paraguay


Caicedo (32')
LIVE
90'

Sandez (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We say: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay

Ecuador ended 2023 by going five games unbeaten, and despite losing to Brazil last time out, the win over Peru suggests they should be among the favourites to qualify, and they will be favourites to win again here. It is almost certain to be a cagey encounter though, and Paraguay took four points from September's internationals without conceding, so they are likely to make it tough for Ecuador. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Paraguay has a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Paraguay win it is 0-1 (6.87%).

Result
EcuadorDrawParaguay
60.5% (0.67899999999999 0.68) 24.81% (-0.378 -0.38) 14.68% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 37.43% (0.261 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.39% (0.725 0.73)61.61% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55% (0.534 0.53)81.45% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.562 0.56)20.41% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (0.886 0.89)52.84% (-0.886 -0.89)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)86.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 60.5%
    Paraguay 14.68%
    Draw 24.81%
EcuadorDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 17.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 13.65% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.81% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies


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