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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
CN

Paraguay
vs.
Chile

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

We say: Paraguay 0-0 Chile

It is very easy to predict a 0-0 when Paraguay are involved, despite coming to life in November, but there is very little to separate these two when looking at their recent form, and it could well be a tense battle in Asuncion. A draw would not be a bad result for either side, as it should keep Paraguay in a comfortable position in the top six, while any point on the road will be most welcome for Chile, who do need to maximise the output from their final few home encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay win with a probability of 45.02%. A draw has a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chile has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Chile win it is 0-1 (10.35%).

Result
ParaguayDrawChile
45.02% (1.616 1.62) 28.86% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 26.12% (-1.553 -1.55)
Both teams to score 42.15% (-0.79 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.34% (-0.5 -0.5)63.67% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (-0.359 -0.36)82.95% (0.36 0.36)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.62599999999999 0.63)28.33% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.784 0.78)64.07% (-0.782 -0.78)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81% (-1.63 -1.63)41.19% (1.632 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (-1.48 -1.48)77.72% (1.482 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 45.01%
    Chile 26.12%
    Draw 28.86%
ParaguayDrawChile
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.484 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.267 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.67% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Argentina
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 4-2 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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