SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Ecuador |
62.79% ( -2.24) | 21.97% ( 0.87) | 15.24% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.89) | 50.86% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( -0.79) | 72.74% ( 0.79) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -1.01) | 15.63% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -1.92) | 44.65% ( 1.92) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% ( 1.45) | 45.67% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% ( 1.11) | 81.46% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.44)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.4)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 2% Total : 62.78% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.24% |
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