SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 14.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
67.08% ( -0.59) | 18.79% ( 0.34) | 14.12% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( -1) | 39.35% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( -1.06) | 61.69% ( 1.05) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% ( -0.43) | 10.83% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.09% ( -0.96) | 34.91% ( 0.96) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.28) | 40.14% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( -0.26) | 76.78% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.28% Total : 67.08% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.12% |
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